There is no climate emergency
A global network of 900 scientists and professionals has prepared this urgent message. Climate science should be less political, while climate policies should be more scientific. Scientists should openly address uncertainties and exaggerations in their predictions of global warming, while politicians should dispassionately count the real costs as well as the imagined benefits of their policy measures.
Natural as well as anthropogenic factors cause warming
The geological archive reveals that Earth’s climate has varied as long as the planet has existed, with natural cold and warm phases. The Little Ice Age ended as recently as 1850. Therefore, it is no surprise that we now are experiencing a period of warming.
Warming is far slower than predicted
The world has warmed significantly less than predicted by IPCC on the basis of modeled anthropogenic forcing. The gap between the real world and the modeled world tells us that we are far from understanding climate change.
Climate policy relies on inadequate models
Climate models have many shortcomings and are not remotely plausible as global policy tools. They blow up the effect of greenhouse gases such as CO2. In addition, they ignore the fact that enriching the atmosphere with CO2 is beneficial.
CO2 is plant food, the basis of all life on Earth
CO2 is not a pollutant. It is essential to all life on Earth. Photosynthesis is a blessing. More CO2 is beneficial for nature, greening the Earth: additional CO2 in the air has promoted growth in global plant biomass. It is also good for agriculture, increasing the yields of crops worldwide.
Global warming has not increased natural disasters
There is no statistical evidence that global warming is intensifying hurricanes, floods, droughts and suchlike natural disasters, or making them more frequent. However, there is ample evidence that CO2-mitigation measures are as damaging as they are costly.
Climate policy must respect scientific and economic realities
There is no climate emergency. Therefore, there is no cause for panic and alarm. We strongly oppose the harmful and unrealistic net-zero CO2 policy proposed for 2050. If better approaches emerge, and they certainly will, we have ample time to reflect and re-adapt. The aim of global policy should be ‘prosperity for all’ by providing reliable and affordable energy at all times. In a prosperous society men and women are well educated, birthrates are low and people care about their environment.
1. Terry Dunleavy MBE, Co-Founder (2006) and Honorary Secretary New Zealand Climate Science Coalition; WCD Ambassador
2. Deborah Alexander, Agricultural Scientist
3. Jock Allison, Retired Agricultural Scientist, Ministry of Agriculture
4. Barry Brill OBE, Previously Minister of Science and Techology
5. Roger High Dewhurst, Retired, Geologist/Hydrogeologist
6. Geoffrey. G. Duffy, Professor Emeritus, University of Auckland
7. Doug Edmeades, Managing Director agKnowledge Ltd.
8. Joe Fone, CAD Engineer, Enatel Ltd
9. Gary Kerkin, Retired Chemical Engineer, Upper Hutt. Executive member New Zealand Climate Science Coalition
10. Brian Leyland, Power Systems Engineer and Experienced Renewable Energy Specialist
11. Gerrit J. van der Lingen, Geologist and Paleoclimatologist, New Zealand, Author of the Book The Fable of Stable Climate
12. Dr. John Maunder, Climate Scientist, President of the WMO Commission for Climatology 1989-1996
13. John Scarry ME (Civil), Structural Engineer, Member of the New Zealand Climate Science Coalition
14. John Sexton, Member of the New Zealand Climate Coalition
15. David Shelley, Emeritus Associate Professor Geology and latterly Dean of Postgraduate Studies, University of Canterbury, Christchurch
16. Philip Strong, Science Research Leader & Member of the New Zealand Climate Coalition
17. Richard Treadgold, Executive Member NZ Climate Scienc Coalition, Convenor Climate Conversation Group
18. Ian Wright, Professional Geologist