There is No Climate Emergency,
a Message to the People
See pdf here
Guus Berkhout, President of Clintel
In the past decades the public has been flooded with fear-mongering stories, telling them that global temperatures will rise to catastrophically high levels.
Climate activists claim that the cause of all this impending doom is the increasing amount of CO2 produced by human activities. The proposed solution is the so-called net-zero emission policy, aimed at lowering human net CO2-emissions to the levels of the pre-industrial era of the late 1700s.
Those activists also claim that people should panic, and that time is running out: “Be aware that it is five minutes to midnight, we must act without delay!” Many thousands of scientists disagree;
Already
1971
are Clintel signatories.
Antonio Guterres, big boss of the UN
Greta Thunberg, teen climate activist
In his numerous ‘last warning’ speeches, Antonio Guterres refers to computer simulations, not the real world. Greta Thunberg testified to the US Congress that there was ‘no science’ behind her ‘panic’ comment. This info cannot be found in the media.
So why is there such a big difference between the scaring climate activists’ narrative and the optimistic climate scientists’ message, who believe there is no climate emergency? Please, before you continue reading, watch our message: Consensus meet CLINTEL
Not many citizens are aware that all the frightening climate predictions have been generated by computer models. And we know from experience in many other complex areas, how misleading computer models can be.
For example, think of the many wrong predictions by economic models or think of the large mistakes in recent pandemic modeling. The output of computer models depends fully on the assumptions that modelmakers put into them. In the past 50 years, the predictions of climate models about global warming and their dire effects have all been wrong. In the engineering community, they would be qualified as useless.
More specifically, the assumptions in climate modeling are such that predicted temperature changes turn out to be persistently too high. Even worse, extreme weather events – such as heatwaves, droughts, floods, hurricanes etc. – are intentionally used to support the extreme climate predictions. But if we position the current extreme weather events in a historical context, we see that these events are ‘climate business as usual’. See Goklany, 2020.
The conclusion is that models (computer simulations) run ‘too hot’ and that predictions of adverse effects on humans are highly dubious. They project a catastrophic future that is not born out by observations. It is much wiser and safer to rely on measurements. The history of science tells us that significant steps forward are always fueled by observations from new measurement instruments.
Think of the very recent spectacular images of outer space by the new James Webb Space Telescope. The same good news applies to the modern satellites that deliver high-quality measurements around the Earth since 1979. Satellite data shows NO extreme warming, and this is cross-checked by millions of weather balloon measurements.
Therefore, let us make use of the abundant temperature measurements made through the years. Those from the beginning of the industrial period (1850) until the present (2020) we see in Figure 1. Measurements tell us that the temperature in 2020 is 1.1 oC higher than in 1850.
Figure 1: Global temperature curve as currently generally accepted from 1850-2020. If we extend the measurements to 2050, we see that the temperature is 1.6 oC higher than in 1850 (‘X-warming’).
Using Figure 1, let us extrapolate the satellite temperatures to the year 2050 by assuming that the temperature increase of the past 40 years (1980-2020) will carry on without any pausing and cooling. This generous projection results in a 2050-temperature that is 1.6oC higher than in 1850. Now, here is the big question: ‘Is the global warming of 1.6oC a scary result? Does this outcome really tell us that it is ‘five minutes to midnight’?
Let us look at today’s difference in mean temperature between Oslo (one of the big cities near the North Pole) and Singapore (one of the big cities near the Equator), see Figure 2. Measurements show that the difference is as much as 22oC, twenty times bigger than the global warming between 1850 and 2020 and almost 14 times bigger than the so-called ‘scary’ global warming between 1850 and 2050.
Despite of this huge mean temperature difference of 22oC, both cities are very prosperous and the citizens in both cities are enjoying life. So, why do the media tell us that a global warming of 1.6oC or more will lead to a disaster (“the end is near”), while 22oC difference between Oslo and Singapore turns out to be no problem whatsoever?
Figure 2: Global mean temperature from 1850-2050, together with the average temperature of the prospering cities Oslo and Singapore in 2020. Note that the global warming of 1.6 °C is marginal with respect to the difference of 22 °C between the two cities (almost factor 14)
The answer is adaptation! Mankind shows an impressive history, having survived many big changes in its living environment, including big changes in the Earth’s climate. Thanks to our ingenuity, human beings have always found clever solutions to cope with all past challenges, again and again. If you visit Oslo and Singapore, you see an impressive demonstration of human’s capability to adapt to climate differences of 22oC.
There is another interesting observation to make. Gradual global warming is not a serious problem, whether it is caused by CO2 or not. Not mitigation but adaptation is the solution. So, for all of those who would like to think that the present global warming is fully caused by CO2, our conclusion stays unchanged.
Bear in mind that during the cooling period around 1900 and the temperature pause in the sixties (see Figure 1), the CO2-concentration in the atmosphere continued to increase without delay. Hence, the anomalous temperature behavior in these two periods were indisputably caused by mother nature. The same applies for the large climate difference between Oslo and Singapore.
Finally, for those who still believe that CO2-emissions are pollution, we urge you to remember that CO2 is essential for all life on Earth. Additional CO2 in the air has promoted growth in global biomass. It is also very favorable for agriculture, increasing crop yields worldwide.
If also this fact of life isn’t sufficiently convincing, please realize that with the availability of modern nuclear power plants we have ample time to create a global energy system with largely zero emission. But again, the big question is whether zero emission is a sensible goal.
In conclusion, don’t let the terrifying stories of supranational institutions – such as the UN, EU and WEF – scare you. Particularly, climate alarmists must not use extreme weather events to poison our children with fear:
The gradual global warming, which started around 1700 after the end of the Little Ice Age, is a fact and has not caused any serious problem. Our advice is: “Enjoy today’s climate, because stories from the Little Ice Age tell us that a cold climate is full of hardship”.
If we continue to invest in innovation, mankind can easily cope with any effect of further warming. Hence, we must stop the demoralizing back-to-the-past mitigation solutions. We observe that it only leads to decline and poverty.
Instead, we must focus on the power of adaptation, based on science, technology, and education. It will lead us into an era of prosperity for nature and mankind. Please, join our journey!
Climate related deaths (floods, droughts, storms, wildfires, extreme temperatures) have declined precipitously because richer and more resilient societies reduce disaster deaths and swamp any potential climate signal.
Thirty years of climate summits have had no discernible effect on the rise in atmospheric CO2 concentration. These summits cost an enormous amount of money. Money which can be better spent on adaptation measures.
Guus Berkhout is emeritus-professor of geophysics, member of the Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences (KNAW)
SUPPORTERS WCD
1. Mario Marquinez Otálora, Argentina
2. Emma Carlone, Australia
3. Tim Davidson, Australia
4. Craig Davis, Australia
5. David Graham, Australia
6. Clemens Grieger, Australia
7. Anthony Grigor-Scott, Australia
8. Paul Hamilton, Australia
9. Alan Kennett, Australia
10. Nicholas Loades, Australia
11. James Longfield, Australia
12. Nuraini Magnusson, Australia
13. Matthew Moyes, Australia
14. Patrick O’Meley, Australia
15. Tom Polich, Australia
16. Ian Storey, Australia
17. Lynette Sunderland, Australia
18. Ingvar Warnholtz, Australia
19. Gerhard Ing. Lassnig, Austria
20. Karin E.J. Kolland, Austria
21. Franz Promock, Austria
22. Sebastien Calebout, Belgium
23. Bart Decroix, Belgium
24. Jelle D’Helft, Belgium
25. Mieke Franquet, Belgium
26. Luc Pintens, Belgium
27. Aldo Fabre, Brazil
28. Francisco Mendes Moraes, Brazil
29. Marcelo Nepomuceno Carius, Brazil
30. Leif Andersen, Canada
31. Darren Becker, Canada
32. Patricia Bowman, Canada
33. Ivanna Broesky, Canada
34. Robert Daye, Canada
35. Wade Doucette, Canada
36. Craig Horner, Canada
37. Dwight Jones, Canada
38. Leslie Keighan, Canada
39. Kerstin Kelly, Canada
40. Stephan Larsson, Canada
41. Al Majauskas, Canada
42. Howard Phelan, Canada
43. Derwyn Ross, Canada
44. Florentina Silianu, Canada
45. Dr Howard Tenenbaum, Canada
46. Lyndon Trombley, Canada
47. Greg Urton, Canada
48. Alex Abumohor, Chile
49. Enrique Casanovas, Chile
50. René Hurtado, Chile
51. Jonothan Keir Sims, China
52. Andreas Christodoulides, Cyprus
53. Charles Hope, Cyprus
54. Michal Bílý, Czech Republic
55. Radek Kveton, Czech Republic
56. Daniel Markvart, Czech Republic
57. Jiri Strachota, Czech Republic
58. Kaspar Bonde Eriksen, Denmark
59. Hugh Sharman, Denmark
60. Juhani Anttila, Finland
61. Ricol Fabien, France
62. Pascal Frèches, France
63. Natasha O Shaughnessy, France
64. Lucien Oulahbib, France
65. Peter Taylor, France
66. Noirtault Thierry, France
67. Achim Benoit, Germany
68. Christian Bickeböller, Germany
69. Wilfried Boysen, Germany
70. José de la Iglesia, Germany
71. Nikolai Dick, Germany
72. Adelbert Herzog, Germany
73. Christopher Hesse, Germany
74. Bernhard Kleinhenz, Germany
75. Lynda Matschke, Germany
76. Kiana Meier-Friedhoff, Germany
77. Manfred Patzwahl, Germany
78. Rafael Sterzer, Germany
79. Christoph Wallner, Germany
80. Lutz Weber, Germany
81. Michael Wegener, Germany
82. Christian Ziep, Germany
83. George Zikos, Greece
84. Bence Gabor Peter, Hungary
85. Pandu Wisaksono, Indonesia
86. Roger Eldridge, Ireland
87. Terry O Sullivan, Ireland
88. Rabbi Gabriel Cousens MD, Israel
89. Antonio Bettanini, Italy
90. Giorgio Caprile, Italy
91. Massimiliano Diodati, Italy
92. Laura Fanfani, Italy
93. Claudio Antonio Lucchesi, Italy
94. Graziano Murru, Italy
95. Mario Natalucci, Italy
96. Maria Psalidi, Italy
97. Domenico Salimbeni, Italy
98. Maurizio Tambani, Italy
99. Gino Attilio Timo, Italy
100. Vincenzo Trainito, Italy
101. Giancarlo Troiani, Italy
102. Giorgio Vismara, Italy
103. Mikhail Boreyko, Kazakhstan
104. Carlo Besenius, Luxembourg
105. Paul Andersson, Netherlands
106. Ado Bloemendal, Netherlands
107. Paul Claes, Netherlands
108. Willem Hageman, Netherlands
109. Rene Houthoff, Netherlands
110. Dick Kraaijenbrink, Netherlands
111. Konstantinos Letsios, Netherlands
112. Paul Markus, Netherlands
113. Tom Pieterse, Netherlands
114. Sandro Stoffers, Netherlands
115. Peter Venema, Netherlands
116. Duncan Christie, New Zealand
117. Bruce C Collings, New Zealand
118. Jesper Siegfried Enerstvedt, Norway
119. Nina Jonsson, Norway
120. Vivi-Ann Sandnes, Norway
121. Haavard Skjaervik, Norway
122. Svein Olav Stormark, Norway
123. Juan Lazo, Peru
124. Jose Tapia, Peru
125. Alain Charles Veloso, Philippines
126. Pablo de la Fuente de Pablo, Poland
127. Szymon Głąbski, Poland
128. Marek Langalis, Poland
129. Rui Abreu, Portugal
130. Flavio Barbara, Portugal
131. Alexander Rodriguez, Singapore
132. Milos Dian, Slovakia
133. Milan Gábor, Slovakia
134. Lore-lei Cerqueira, South Africa
135. Jan Tredoux, South Africa
136. Leopoldo Abadia, Spain
137. Manuel Espejo, Spain
138. José María Fernandez-Bravo Álvarez, Spain
139. Luis Garcia, Spain
140. jose Ignacio garcia Bielsa, Spain
141. José Ignacio Herreras Espinosa, Spain
142. Antonio Lista, Spain
143. Jorge López Pollo, Spain
144. Javier Miguel Gonzalez, Spain
145. Luis Muñoz, Spain
146. Vicente Nomdedeu, Spain
147. Gert-jan Mathijs Oepkes, Spain
148. Ricardo Pascual Iglesias, Spain
149. Pedro Reche, Spain
150. Elena Simó, Spain
151. Inge Bjart Torkildsen, Spain
152. Carlos Urrutia Nebreda, Spain
153. Zhamuel Boij, Sweden
154. Erika Brandt, Sweden
155. Lars-Olof Ödlund, Sweden
156. Janos Vrbata, Switzerland
157. Peter Pop, United Arab Emirates
158. Gordon Ballantyne, United Kingdom
159. Keith Brown, United Kingdom
160. Kevan Chippindall-Higgin, United Kingdom
161. Aidan Condie, United Kingdom
162. Robert DABLE, United Kingdom
163. Eugene Daniel, United Kingdom
164. Michael Davies, United Kingdom
165. Ruth Ferguson, United Kingdom
166. Patrick Fossett, United Kingdom
167. David John Fraser, United Kingdom
168. Michael Gilding, United Kingdom
169. Roland Gilmore, United Kingdom
170. Kenneth Gorman, United Kingdom
171. Solomon Green, United Kingdom
172. William Hawkins, United Kingdom
173. Martin Haywood-Samuel, United Kingdom
174. Robert Heath, United Kingdom
175. John Howes, United Kingdom
176. Toni Ives, United Kingdom
177. Bryan Johnston, United Kingdom
178. David Johnstone, United Kingdom
179. Bethany Jukes, United Kingdom
180. Joseph Kavanagh, United Kingdom
181. Howard Koolman, United Kingdom
182. Nigel Lawrence, United Kingdom
183. Andrew Mackay, United Kingdom
184. George Magklaras, United Kingdom
185. Richard Maguire, United Kingdom
186. David Martin, United Kingdom
187. Stuart McCarthy, United Kingdom
188. Gerrard Mccluskey, United Kingdom
189. Stephen J. Medlock, United Kingdom
190. Robin Monotti Graziadei, United Kingdom
191. Hilary Muggridge, United Kingdom
192. Robert Nellist, United Kingdom
193. Morkel Otto, United Kingdom
194. Andrea Pearson, United Kingdom
195. Robert Peddar-Adams, United Kingdom
196. Stephen Peliza, United Kingdom
197. Vela Rasarathnam, United Kingdom
198. Yvonne Ross, United Kingdom
199. Leo Rutherford, United Kingdom
200. Catherine Shipley, United Kingdom
201. Nick Stedman, United Kingdom
202. Angie Stone, United Kingdom
203. Charles Tannett, United Kingdom
204. Desmond Thompson, United Kingdom
205. Ian Travers, United Kingdom
206. Jack Turnbull, United Kingdom
207. Andrew Verdon, United Kingdom
208. Neil Wilkes, United Kingdom
209. D. Williams, United Kingdom
210. Nigel Wilson, United Kingdom
211. Greg Abell, United States of America
212. Dr. James Aldrich, United States of America
213. Paul Allyn, United States of America
214. E Scott Argento, United States of America
215. Roger Ayotte, United States of America
216. Michele Baxter, United States of America
217. Richard Bay, United States of America
218. Carl Beels, United States of America
219. Charles Bellavia, United States of America
220. Thomas Bingel, United States of America
221. Mark Brody, United States of America
222. Robert Broe, United States of America
223. Sue A. Brown, United States of America
224. Craig Brueckman, United States of America
225. Janice Bryson, United States of America
226. Kevin Burger, United States of America
227. John Byrne, United States of America
228. Jeff Campbell, United States of America
229. Joseph Chiaro, United States of America
230. David Cornberg, United States of America
231. Pamela Cornelius, United States of America
232. Charley Cropley, United States of America
233. Espen Dahlen, United States of America
234. Jeff Davison, United States of America
235. Grant Dixon, United States of America
236. John Doleman, United States of America
237. William Dondarski, United States of America
238. Benn Dover, United States of America
239. Vincent A. Ettari, United States of America
240. David Fair, United States of America
241. Jonathan Frishberg, United States of America
242. Bernardo Garza, United States of America
243. Christine Goodwin, United States of America
244. Robert Gorgone, United States of America
245. Gio Batta Gori, United States of America
246. Shelley Graham, United States of America
247. Donny Griffin, United States of America
248. Herbert Guenther, United States of America
249. Frans Hager, United States of America
250. John Halbur, United States of America
251. Curt Hanson, United States of America
252. Michael Hartman, United States of America
253. Harvey Hnatiuk, United States of America
254. David Houghland MD, United States of America
255. David Jaskierny, United States of America
256. Michael Jones, United States of America
257. Timothy Kearney, United States of America
258. Marvin Langston, United States of America
259. Stephen Larbig, United States of America
260. Ted Laskaris, United States of America
261. Robert R. Lerma, United States of America
262. John Lovett, United States of America
263. Robert McCarter, United States of America
264. James McGough, United States of America
265. Linda Mckenzie, United States of America
266. Aaron McKissack, United States of America
267. George Mcleod, United States of America
268. Geoffrey McNiven, United States of America
269. Pamela Mcvicar, United States of America
270. Jim Medlar, United States of America
271. Ed Meyer, United States of America
272. William Moye, United States of America
273. Maurice Murphy, United States of America
274. Kimon Nicolaides, United States of America
275. Arnold Nordeng, United States of America
276. Naomi Nye, United States of America
277. Jeffery Osborn, United States of America
278. Judith Osterman, United States of America
279. John Pearrow, United States of America
280. Bernard Raad, United States of America
281. Phyllis Rampulla, United States of America
282. Miriano “Max” Ravazzolo, United States of America
283. James Rice, United States of America
284. Anita Roche, United States of America
285. Al Rogers, United States of America
286. Charles G. Sandell DMD, United States of America
287. Ed Sebesta, United States of America
288. Marina Shea, United States of America
289. Roy Shockey, United States of America
290. Deborah Simpkins, United States of America
291. Christopher Snyder, United States of America
292. James Spence MD FACP FCCP, United States of America
293. Richard F. Storm, United States of America
294. Tatiana Sugar, United States of America
295. Doug Swartout, United States of America
296. Ronald Tarbutton, United States of America
297. Don Thompson, United States of America
298. Jeffrey Tschida, United States of America
299. Peter Ulasien, United States of America
300. Ronald Ulrich, United States of America
301. Russell Vogel, United States of America
302. Gary L. Wade, United States of America
303. James Waldo, United States of America
304. Glenn Weckel, United States of America
305. William Wharton, United States of America
306. Stacy Wick, United States of America
307. James Williams, United States of America
308. James Colin Wright, United States of America