© CLINTEL Foundation – / Friday 27 August, 2021

The IPCC Hockey Stick is back!

By Marcel Crok and Prof. dr. ir. Guus Berkhout, founders CLINTEL

After eight years finally a new IPCC report is out, called AR6, and the media is freaking out: ‘Climate change is now suddenly going faster than ever’. ‘Extremes are increasing and it has become close to impossible to reach the 1.5 C ‘target’ of the Paris Agreement’. ‘Sea level rise  maybe is “irreversible” now’. And on and on (and on) …

Clintel put out a statement right away claiming the new report provides little objective basis for policymaking. We are now in the process of analysing the 4000 page report in more detail with researchers from our international Clintel network. Read more about this project later in this newsletter.

A surprising feature of the new IPCC report is the publication of a brand new hockey stick. For one of us (Marcel Crok) this is a real déjà vu. Back in 2005 Marcel was the first journalist who extensively covered the detailed criticism of Stephen McIntyre and Ross McKitrick on the then (in)famous hockey stick of Michael Mann. As insiders know, the climategate emails mainly dealt with this unfortunate episode of the climate debate. In AR4 and AR5 the IPCC didn’t really promote their hockey stick view of climate history. But now in AR6 the hockey stick is back in full glory.

And there is only one man in the world who knows more about these temperature reconstructions than anyone else and that is of course Canadian Stephen McIntyre. His first posts on the new hockeystick are here: hockeystick 1 and hockeystick 2

Marcel Crok also made a first analysis of the new hockey stick here.

CLINTEL goes to court

Earlier this week, CLINTEL submitted a petition to the European Court of Human Rights to be allowed to participate in a climate law suit initiated by climate activists against 33 countries. The case is known as the DUARTE case.

CLINTEL believes that the European Court of Human Rights should make decisions based on the best available science and the best policy analysis. The record currently before the court is incorrect and misleading. We intend to submit scientific information to the court to correct the record. For instance, the court believes that the so-called “climate emergency” is a scientific concept, which it is not. Read the full article here.

Vahrenholt: IPCC’s sixth climate report disappoints across the board

MUST READ: “How to Understand the New IPCC Report”

Roger Pielke Jr. is a well-known climate scientist with lots of publications on weather extremes, the damage that those extremes cause and the scenarios that the IPCC is using. Pielke concludes that there is much good news (hidden) in the new report. The extreme scenario (RCP8.5) was identified in the last IPCC report (2013) as our most likely future. Now IPCC has completely reversed that, and it is now considered a scenario with low likelyhood.

Furthermore Pielke considers the evidence on weather extremes. Again hidden in the report, IPCC says that there is no increase in hurricanes, floods and droughts.

Here are the links to two very interesting posts by Pielke: post 1  and post 2.

Successful interview about IPCC report

CLINTEL founder Marcel Crok did an interview on the Dutch alternative news channel Blckbx.tv last week. The subject was the sixth IPCC report. Marcel concluded that, contrary to reports in the mainstream media, the IPCC report also contains some good news. Two ‘disastrous’ scenario’s from the last IPCC report are now judged to be ‘unlikely’, to name but one of Marcel’s observations. The interview was very well watched. The number of views reached 60.000 within 24 hours.

You can watch the interview with English subtitles here

CLINTEL works on in depth analysis of AR6, and needs your help

The new IPCC report is almost 4000 pages long. It is close to impossible to analyse every page and every claim. Fortunately this isn’t necessary. Several experts in our international network are specialists on the most important themes, like hockey sticks, climate sensitivity and weather extremes.

With a team of around ten people we are going to prepare an in depth analysis of the new AR6 report. Some of the team members don’t need financial support but others are working freelance and need some compensation. We also need some funding for art direction and promotion.

You can support our project by making a donation here . Please if you donate, mention AR6. Many thanks in advance for your help.

‘CODE RED’ criticized by Friends of Science Society

IPCC reports, especially the Summary for Policy Makers, are skewed to support carbon markets, unreliable renewables, and clean-tech, concludes Friends of Science Society, an independent group of earth, atmospheric and solar scientists, engineers, and citizens based in Canada.

‘Unfortunately, beside skewing the economies of the world, climate catastrophe headlines instill eco-anxiety and climate grief in the public and load children up with guilt, fear and resentment against their parents over an imaginary crisis based on faulty models and Global Mean Temperature Anomalies’, the Society states.

Read the full article here

World Climate Declaration